Service Plays Monday 8/9/10

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
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Thank you, wilheim.......

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MLB NEWS AND NOTES

Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

David Price (14-5, 2.82 ERA), Tampa Bay Rays

David Price is really good. No big surprise there but it seems like the long lefty is making adjustments with almost every start. While he still is a little too dependent on his fastball, he is working on his control.

His 55 walks rank among the top 10 for American League starting pitchers but Price has walked just four batters in his last two starts and he’s had two or less in five of his last eight appearances. The under is also 5-2-1 in his last eight trips to the bump.

Slumping

Ervin Santana (10-8, 4.11 ERA), Los Angeles Angels
Things aren’t going so well these days for the Angels and Santana is one of many players on the club underachieving at the moment. The Halos are 2-4 in his last six starts and the 27-year-old right owns a 12.11 ERA and a 2.69 WHIP (walks + hits per inning) over his last two outings.

"When you don't have a first-pitch strike, you have big troubles," Santana told the Los Angeles Times after the Orioles knocked him around for nine runs in his last start. "I'm just going to leave this in this ballpark and get to the next outing."

Returning

Carlos Zambrano (3-6, 5.61 ERA), Chicago Cubs

What a long strange trip it’s been for Big Z this season. Once considered the Cubs unquestioned staff ace, Zambrano is now thought of as one of the most overpaid and underachieving players in the big leagues.

He’s made three relief appearances since returning from a team suspension following his dugout blowup, but this will be his first start since that forgettable day in July when Zambrano and team captain Derrek Lee almost came started throwing hay-makers at each other.

Zambrano has issued four walks in 3 2/3 innings of work since rejoining the Cubs but manager Lou Piniella seemed encouraged by his big righty’s added zip on his fastball.

Reports suggest that the Cubs will not let Zambrano pitch more than 75 or 80 pitches in his Monday start.

 

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HOT LINES

Monday's Best MLB Bets

Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros (100, 8.5)

There's no place like dome for the Astros, who return home having won five in a row at Minute Maid Park by a combined score of 30-4.

Of course, those lopsided wins came against struggling teams like the Cubs and Brewers, but the Braves may qualify as a lesser team in the series opener.

That's because they have called up 22-year-old lefthander Mike Minor to make his major-league debut in place of injured starter Kris Medlen.

Minor, who is 6-7 with a 3.44 ERA in Double-A and Triple-A this season, was the last to know about his last-minute promotion Saturday night.

"I was thinking they were going to go with a veteran guy, an experienced guy," he told the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. "My dad was saying that it was all over the internet, they are going to call you up. I still didn’t believe it until they told me."

Minor may be in for an even bigger surprise against the hard-hitting Astros, who are batting .316 against lefties in their last 10 games.

The Braves, who are batting just .242 against righties during that same span, face Bud Norris, who has won his last two starts and struck out a combined 13.

Welcome to the majors, Minor.

Pick: Houston Astros


Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants (-160, 8)

The Cubs, frequent victims of the June swoon, have instead waited for the July slide and the August bust before falling to pieces this season.

The Loveable Losers have dropped 10 of their last 11 and scored three or fewer runs in seven of those defeats. The Cubs are next-to-last in hitting with runners in scoring position.

"I don't even want to talk about it anymore, truthfully," soon-to-be former Cubs manager Lou Piniella said of the lack of clutch hitting. "No sense re-hashing, what could have been, whatever. It's hard. It's frustrating is what it is."

The Cubs are feeling the same frustration and will likely start playing out the string. They will do so without their skipper, who is leaving the team to tend to his ailing mother.

They do get a shot of fire from Carlos Zambrano, who returns to the mound after his tirade last month, but even if he is effective he is on a 75-80 pitch count.

Put a disgruntled team on a plane without their manager for a West Coast road swing that starts in San Francisco, where the Giants are 9-3 since the All-Star break, and you get predictable results.

Pick: SF Giants

 

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BETTORS' TIPS AND NOTES
Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Monday's Wagering Tips

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Rays at Tigers: Rays opened at +130 but have climbed to as high as +138 at some books.

Braves at Astros: Braves opened at +100 but are now listed as high as +110 at some books.

Cubs at Giants: Giants opened at -165 but now can be found as low as -155 at some books.

Weather to watch

Rays at Tigers: 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Who's Hot

Brewers are 9-2 in their last 11 at home.

Reds are 7-1 in their last eight.

Orioles are 5-1 in their last six.

Who's Not

Cubs are 1-10 in their last 11.

Mariners are 4-10 in their last 14.

Rays have lost five in a row.

Key Stat

31-10: Under's record in the last 41 meetings between the Kansas City Royals and Los Angeles Angels. We'd love to chalk this lopsided stat up to great pitching but that's not the case. Tonight's total is 7.5 despite featuring starting pitchers with combined ERAs of 13.70 in their last three outings.

Injury That Shouldn't Be Overlooked

Chicago White Sox catcher A.J. Pierzynski left Saturday night's game against the Baltimore Orioles with an ankle injury and did not play Sunday. Pierzynski hit a double but twisted his ankle on the way to third base and was replaced by Ramon Castro on Saturday and Sunday. Pierzynski, who is batting .231 with six home runs and 32 RBIs this season, could be an even tougher loss because of his close relationship with the White Sox's starting rotation.

Game Of The Day

Red Sox at Yankees (105, 9)
Notable Quotable

"Not playing like this, definitely not, not playing like this. I mean, I wouldn't help the team if I'm playing like this. No one would help the team if they're shooting 18-over par.''

Tiger Woods said Sunday when asked if he hopes to play for the U.S. Ryder Cup team following his career-worst showing at the Bridgestone Invitational.

Tips And Notes

Tampa Bay manager Joe Maddon set a goal before the season - a total of 1,000 innings from his starting rotation. It may be catching up with the Rays. Righthanders Jeff Niemann and Wade Davis left the team Sunday to return to Tampa and have their sore shoulders examined by doctors. Niemann was scratched from Sunday's scheduled start against the Blue Jays and was replaced by Andy Sonnanstine. Davis has Jeremy Hellickson waiting to spell him if needed. The Rays used only five starting pitchers for their first 104 games but Sonnanstine was the seventh in their last seven games. Watch for signs of the Rays' rotation wearing down in the stretch run.

True to their nickname, the Brew Crew is going with a bullpen by committee, with Trevor Hoffman and John Axford sharing the closing duties, according to Milwaukee Brewers manager Ken Macha. The rookie Axford has a 3.00 ERA, converting 16 of 17 save opportunities. The veteran Hoffman has a 6.25 ERA after struggling early but is down to 1.42 ERA in his last 19 appearances, including nine straight scoreless outings. The move may be viewed as political since Hoffman is closing in on 600 career saves. Saturday's conversion brought his total to 597.

Gabe Ruediger was named as the replacement fighter against Joe Lauzon at UFC 118. Terry Etim was originally scheduled to be Lauzon's opponent for the Aug. 28 lightweight bout, but Etim reportedly broke his ribs during training. Both Ruediger and Lauzon appeared on "The Ultimate Fighter 5" in 2007, when Lauzon advanced in the 155-pound class while Ruediger was famously kicked out of the event for failing to make his weight. Ruediger (17-5) is 7-2 since that fight while Lauzon (18-5) is coming off a tough loss in his first fight back from knee surgery.

 

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GREEK SPORTS PICKS

Bonus Play
Milwaukee Brewers -133

 

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DAVE ECKSTEIN

Bonus Play
Tampa Bay Rays -146

 

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Moneyline King

Premium Picks

Pick: LA Angels (-1.5)
Units: Risk 5 units to win 5

Pick: San Francisco Giants (-153)
Units: Risk 7.65 units to win 5

Pick: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)
Risk: 5 units to win 7.25

 

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Baseball Crusher

MIL (-135) over ARI

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bulgarian Paid Service

FK Teplice - SK Dynamo Ceske Budejovice: 1 @ 1.75
Biel Bienne - Winterthur :bet on Biel 0, -0.5 @ 1.95 - Bet365

 

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Best Top Picks

Teplice - Budejovice pick 1 (Czech 1) 12 PM ET

 

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Angels Sunday.

Monday it's the Red Sox. The profit is 15 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

The miserable Metamucils prevented Hondo from achieving his financial goal yesterday, stumbling and bumbling in Philly to raise the NRN (nasty red number) to 1,450 frisches.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will try to nail down a winner with Carpenter in Cincy -- 10 units on the Cards to hammer Leake.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
491 - 362 run 58 %

Bonus Play Mon Tampa Bay

 

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Gamblers Data

Monday
Brewers -140

 

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The Joker's Bet of the Day:

Back Over 2.5 Goals at 2.0 in TPV v Hameenlinna

 

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Wicked Good Wagers

Here are today's picks:

MLB

Baltimore Orioles
Cincinnati Reds
Seattle Mariners

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Red Sox
Tigers
Cardinals

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB DUNKEL

St. Louis at Cincinnati
The Reds look to take advantage of a St. Louis team that is 1-4 in Chris Carpenter's last 5 road starts against a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, AUGUST 9

Game 951-952: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 15.516; Cincinnati (Leake) 15.975
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+120); Under

Game 953-954: Atlanta at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 14.760; Houston (Norrris) 15.484
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+105); Over

Game 955-956: Arizona at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.928; Milwaukee (Narveson) 15.253
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-135); Over

Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 13.306; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.637
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-160); Under

Game 959-960: Boston at NY Yankees (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 14.857; NY Yankees (Hughes) 16.202
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+105); Under

Game 961-962: Tampa Bay at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.083; Detroit (Galarraga) 15.441
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+140); Under

Game 963-964: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Jackson) 15.644; Baltimore (Matusz) 14.866
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-145); Under

Game 965-966: Kansas City at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 13.834; LA Angels (Santana) 14.220
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-210); Under

Game 967-968: Oakland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.583; Seattle (Fister) 13.954
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-105); Over
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Hot pitchers
-- Cardinals won last five Carpenter starts (3-0, 1.62).
-- Norris is 3-0, 4.50 in his last three starts.

-- Hughes is 2-1, 3.78 in his last three starts.
-- Price is 2-0, 2.66 in his last three starts.
-- Mazzaro is 4-1, 3.27 in his last seven starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Leake is 0-3, 9.92 in his last three starts.
-- Lefty Minor makes big league debut here; he was 4-1, 1.89 in his six starts at AAA level.
-- Narveson is 0-2, 11.30 in his last three home starts. Kennedy is 1-2, 7.02 in his last three starts.
-- Zambrano makes first start since June 25; he was 2-3, 6.17 in his last five starts. Bumgarner is 1-2, 4.76 in his last three starts.

-- Lester is 0-4, 6.07 in his last four starts.
-- Galarraga is 0-3, 5.06 in his last six starts.
-- EJackson is 1-4, 6.44 in his last five starts. Matusz is 1-2, 9.00 in his last five starts.
-- Former Angel O'Sullivan is 0-2, 6.61 in three starts for the Royals. ESantana has a 14.90 RA in his last two starts.
-- Fister is 0-7, 6.22 in his last eleven starts.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Carpenter road starts stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Narveson starts went over the total.
-- Four of last five Cub games stayed under the total.

-- Over is 9-3-2 in last fourteen games in the Bronx. Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Boston road games.
-- Over is 13-6 in Tampa Bay's last 19 road games.
-- Seven of last nine White Sox road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Kansas City road games.
-- Four of last five Mazzaro starts went over the total.

Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati won nine of its last eleven games.
-- Braves won four of their last five games.
-- Brewers are 10-2 in last dozen games at Miller Park. Arizona won three of its last four games.

-- Bronx won three of its last four games.
-- White Sox won 10 of their last 14 games. Orioles won five of their last six contests.
-- A's are 10-6 in their last sixteen road games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost ten of their last eleven games.
-- Astros lost their last three games, allowing 30 runs.
-- St Louis is 6-12 in its last 18 road games.
-- Giants lost four of their last five games.

-- Red Sox ae 9-10 in their last 18 road games.
-- Tampa Bay lost its last five games, allowing 30 runs. Tigers lost 13 of their last 16 games.
-- Royals lost 10 of their last 13 road games. Angels lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Mariners lost 10 of their last 13 games.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

Atlanta –1½ +1.42 over HOUSTON

The Braves are coming off a very impressive series over the Giants in which they won three of the four games and beat Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain and Jonathan Sanchez. The Astros were swept in Milwaukee after blowing a three-run, ninth inning lead in the opener and ended up surrendering 22 runs in the three-game set. The Astros have now dropped four in a row and come into this one with a battered bullpen after the team allowed 30 runs against in its four-game losing streak. Mike Minor was Atlanta's first round pick (and the 7th player selected overall) in last year's amateur draft after an outstanding collegiate career at Vanderbilt. At just 22, he is a polished and savvy pitcher with a solid/average fastball that sits in the low 90's along with a plus change-up and a good breaking pitch that keeps hitters off balance. His best tool is that he can spot all of his offerings where he wants to. Minor is 6’ 3”, 210, and began the year at AA Mississippi where he went 2-6 for a poor team, but had great numbers. Since being promoted to AAA Gwinnett he has been overpowering in all respects, 4-1 with a 1.89 ERA and a BAA of .171. In 120 innings split between AA and AAA, Minor struck out 146 and walked 46. Bud Norris has some very good stuff but this guy is a big risk because he has just two pitches (fastball, slider) and when he’s not throwing strikes with his slider he’s a sitting duck out there. The Braves ripped Norris apart once already this year (4.2 IP, 8H 7R 4BB 3K’s) and you can be damn sure that they’ll be a little extra juiced up here in support of its top-pitching prospect. Play: Atlanta –1½ +1.42 (Risking 2 units).